Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 6.881483 7.578291 8.321796 9.175305 10.129433 11.164780 12.375431
2025-11-09 5.631246 6.571219 7.641891 8.956420 10.533280 12.371891 14.689529
2025-11-16 4.776019 5.847580 7.136619 8.812133 10.947846 13.599635 17.173349
2025-11-23 4.169324 5.317765 6.765383 8.742426 11.400557 14.890969 19.887862
2025-11-30 3.793921 5.017412 6.625192 8.921043 12.161582 16.642206 23.429779
2025-12-07 3.408457 4.649596 6.340054 8.849305 12.545509 17.895839 26.423592
2025-12-14 3.053231 4.278956 6.001531 8.647315 12.695523 18.801740 28.994614
2025-12-21 2.800777 4.024200 5.794186 8.600981 13.052019 20.033898 32.217706
2025-12-28 2.652977 3.904819 5.767696 8.815496 13.822296 21.987737 36.887344
2026-01-04 2.511843 3.779837 5.716418 8.978016 14.515846 23.885233 41.724798
2026-01-11 2.358175 3.620181 5.593494 9.005945 14.978108 25.431526 46.141989
2026-01-18 2.198955 3.437290 5.415362 8.919553 15.225344 26.615249 50.034202
2026-01-25 2.043801 3.251785 5.222254 8.797145 15.410582 27.738021 54.052301
2026-02-01 1.899425 3.072970 5.025632 8.649487 15.533457 28.760427 58.042682
2026-02-08 1.776288 2.920352 4.860801 8.542178 15.718672 29.925153 62.532926
2026-02-15 1.674028 2.795609 4.733806 8.491131 16.004797 31.325360 67.784477
2026-02-22 1.615926 2.743430 4.730729 8.672598 16.773001 33.824157 76.025211
2026-03-01 1.527543 2.630341 4.607421 8.607594 17.024972 35.244236 81.926379
2026-03-08 1.429607 2.492881 4.428215 8.414108 16.982255 36.001778 86.299534
2026-03-15 1.359287 2.401331 4.328071 8.370363 17.255881 37.510732 92.901465
2026-03-22 1.324946 2.374593 4.349483 8.578986 18.111090 40.499212 104.098307
2026-03-29 1.286652 2.337472 4.347382 8.736900 18.868361 43.357800 115.540591
2026-04-05 1.236446 2.273816 4.287629 8.764154 19.322809 45.524250 125.425046